Monthly round-up

Energy news round-up: September 2026

The UK’s hottest summer on record, El Niño heading for historic strength, and the details of the temporary VAT cut on electricity.

Summer 2026 was the UK’s hottest on record

The Met Office confirmed a UK summer mean temperature of 16.5°C, beating the previous record of 16.1°C set only last year. 54 weather stations set all-time records, and the hottest day of the season was 38.2°C at Hartpury College on 13 August. The Met Office estimated a summer like this was around 130 times more likely because of human-induced climate change.

Hot summers increase cooling loads in offices, data centres, cold stores and retail. Without sub-metering on chillers and air handling plant, that extra cost is invisible until the bill arrives.

El Niño: 75% chance of a historic event

The US Climate Prediction Center’s 10 September update gave a 75% chance of a historic El Niño, stronger than any since 1950, during October to December. The key Pacific temperature index was 1.8°C above normal in August.

HMRC confirms the temporary VAT cut on electricity

HMRC published the details of the zero rate of VAT for domestic electricity in Great Britain, running from 1 October 2026 to 31 March 2027. Standard-rated business electricity is unaffected and stays at 20%. Charities and low-use supplies that already pay the reduced rate also benefit.

ESOS Phase 4: thresholds unchanged

Legal commentary on the new Phase 4 guidance confirmed that the qualifying thresholds are unchanged: 250 or more employees, or turnover above £44m and a balance sheet above £38m. Organisations meeting these on 31 December 2026 will need to comply by 5 December 2027.

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